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2024-12-14 00:42:50

Italian 10-year bond yields continued to rise, rising by 10 basis points to 3.29%.Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: Strengthen the prevention and resolution of risks in the fields of real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions. Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank, told reporters that it is necessary to strengthen the prevention and resolution of risks in the real estate field and small and medium-sized financial institutions under the circumstances that a clear plan has been issued for the resolution of local government debt risks and targeted measures have been taken. (SSE)South Asia Stock Market | Pakistan Stock Index closed up more than 3%, and Sri Lanka Stock Market continued to hit a record high. On Thursday (December 12), the KSE 100 Index of Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan closed up 3.04% to 114,000 points, which was the second consecutive trading day. Karachi's all-share index closed up 2.45% to 72,109.52 points, which also continued to hit a record high. The total share price index of Colombo, Sri Lanka, closed up 1.09% to 14,035.81 points, hitting a record high for several consecutive days. Since the close on November 25th, the cumulative increase has exceeded 9.00%. The Bangladesh DSE Generalized Index closed down 0.37% to 5105.43 points, with a cumulative decline of 1.76% this week (five consecutive natural days).


Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)The test drive of Jiyue Direct Store is locked and can't be tested. "The test drive has been locked and can't be tested. It is meaningless to see the car now." On December 12, a staff member of a Jiyue Auto Direct Store in Minhang District, Shanghai told reporters. When asked about vehicle maintenance and after-sales, the staff did not give an answer and immediately walked into the office. In fact, since December 10th, there have been news that "the shareholders of Extreme Vietnam will no longer invest" and "Extreme Vietnam will close the vehicle business". Xia Yiping, CEO of Jiyue Automobile, explained in an internal meeting on December 12 that the company's account has been frozen, but it is still seeking financing. The company has not shut down or closed down, and the warranty and software services of the whole vehicle will not be interrupted. (Shell Finance)Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)


Korean media disclosed the details of the State Council meeting before and after the emergency martial law. According to Yonhap News Agency, the South Korean Ministry of Administration and Security disclosed the relevant information provided by the Presidential Palace on December 11th about the meeting to declare emergency martial law and lift martial law. According to the data, Premier Han Dezhu said that all State Councillors attending the State Council meeting on the evening of the 3rd of this month expressed their opposition to the martial law proposed by President Yin Xiyue, and believed that martial law would have a serious impact on the Korean economy and credit, and would not be accepted by the people. (CCTV International News)Market News: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban and Turkish President Erdogan discuss US sanctions against Gazprom.China Resources Land: The contracted sales in November was about 25.80 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year. China Resources Land announced on the evening of December 12 that in November 2024, the Group achieved a total contracted sales of about 25.80 billion yuan, with a total contracted sales floor area of about 1.203 million square meters, up 6.9% and 11.1% respectively. In the first 11 months of 2024, the cumulative contracted sales was about RMB 229.10 billion, and the total contracted sales floor area was about 10.031 million square meters, down by 19.9% and 16.8% respectively.

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